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I have lived in the Washington, D.C. Area for over 20 years and have always been fascinated with the weather.  I’ve taken several meteorology courses at the college level and continue to learn about the weather every day.

The weather here in Washington is dynamic, changes rapidly and can be difficult to forecast.  As a weather enthusiast I have at times been disappointed by the lack of warning given prior to significant weather events.

Examples:

“Commutageddon” January 26, 2011:  

Commuters were stranded in their vehicles on snow-covered roadways during the evening rush hour on January 26, 2011; photo courtesy Jay Wescott NWS

On January 24th at 9:49 pm, I predicted that a strong upper-level low pressure system would bring heavy, wet, snow of 4 to 8″ across the DC Region

The Derecho of June 29th, 2012

At 4:34 on June 29th, I gave advanced warning well before Severe Thunderstorm Watches were issued.

The Blizzard of January 22, 2016

On January 17th at 8:36 in the morning, I posted “Who Wants 15 to 20″ of Snow later this Week?” well before anyone had put out snowfall maps.

Luckily for me I only had to issue one snowfall map for the storm:

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No television meteorologist or weather blogger (including me) has a perfect track record as there are many times here in Washington when the forecast models do not agree on storm track and this poses headaches for very talented meteorologists.

I find that much of the frustration here in the Washington Area stems from weather events where meteorologists are afraid  of “over-promising snowfall accumulations”. This conundrum is also known as the “politics of weather forecasting” and as we have seen has at times led to nightmare commutes on our area roadways.

The goal of DCstorms.com is to provide analysis and insight of what I am seeing in the forecast models ahead of time so that I can provide as much information as possible before severe weather potentially strikes.   If you have any suggestions, comments or questions about the weather or my website please drop me a line.