March Out Like a Lion

The upcoming Easter weekend is looking stunning with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures ranging from the middle 60s to near 70 degrees.  But first we have to get through a rather rainy Wednesday and January-like temperatures on Thursday and Friday.

The latest high-resolution NAM model (image above, courtesy Pivotal Weather) shows widespread showers with some embedded thunder beginning around 1pm on Wednesday and continuing through the tail end of the evening rush hour.

An arctic front will then approach the DC Area on Wednesday night while a strong area of low pressure develops and rides northward along the front changing rain over to snow in our western zones. Some snow may even mix…

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Arctic Front Will Usher In Coldest Air of Season and Gusty Winds

A strong cold front will cross the Washington Area this evening ushering in the coldest air of the season thus far. Winds may briefly gust between 45 and 55 mph along with heavy downpours and a clap of thunder as the cold front crosses your community.

Behind the front, gusty winds will continue through the midday hours on Monday while accumulating snow falls across the Allegheny Highlands including places like Garret county Maryland. The images below (courtesy WxBell) show the potential snowfall accumulation from the Weather Prediction Center (WPC).

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Heavy Rain Thursday | 2 to 3″ Possible Across Portions of the DMV

Just what you want to hear as a Washington D.C. Area Commuter:  “Heavy Rain” + Thursday + Rush Hour = Nightmare Commute!

The heaviest rain is currently forecast to begin during the second half of the morning rush hour; with that said, the entire morning rush hour will feature widespread showers with embedded pockets of moderate rain, especially south and east of D.C.

The image below from the latest High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR, courtesy weathermodels.com) shows a heavy band of rain moving into the D.C. metro area at 9am.

Future-Cast Radar Simulation from 9am Thursday through 3am Friday

How Much Rain could Fall Across Your Neighborhood?

The latest European model is dropping between 1 and 3″ of rain with the heaviest axis currently expected across the western suburbs and eastern-facing slopes of the Blue Ridge mountains where some flooding of creeks, streams and urban areas is possible.

Rain/Snow/Graupel “Squalls” Possible on Friday across the D.C. Metro Area

A disturbance will cross the Blue Ridge mountains during the late morning hours on Friday.  This may kick off gusty winds and some fast-moving showers of rain, snow or graupel (snow flakes that partially melt and then freeze).

Accumulating snow will fall across interior portions of the Northeast and west of the Allegheny Front on Friday and Saturday: