Severe Thunderstorms Possible Saturday

Saturday is shaping up to be an interesting day across the Washington Region with temperatures soaring into the upper 90s, dew points just shy of 80 degrees, an upper level (500-mb) disturbance slated to cross our region, high surface CAPE (convective available potential energy) and very strong wind shear (some models forecasting values approaching 50 knots)! An area of low pressure will also be passing just to our north and east as a cold front approaches from the northwest.  If these trends continue and timing of the features is accurate, our region could be under the gun for damaging winds, hail and possibly even some tornadoes.

Dew points will be Oppressive and this saturated air mass will be fuel for deep moist convection:

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