Latest on Tropical Storm ETA

The image below is from the latest European Prediction System (courtesy Wxbell).  These are called “spaghetti models” and highlight uncertainty in track.  The important line to follow is the black line (Ensemble Mean).

The American Ensemble Model (GEFS) below shows a similar potential track of ETA near the Keys and then eventually moving north or northeast toward the northeastern Gulf. ETA should eventually get picked up by a trough digging into the United States later this week and could bring some heavy rainfall to our area on Thursday.

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Watching Tropical Storm ETA Closely for Potential US Impacts

The weather will improve Tuesday through Friday as high pressure takes control over the eastern United States. Temperatures will moderate while all eyes will turn to the Caribbean Sea as some of the ensemble forecast models are indicating that Tropical Storm ETA may get pulled northward towards Cuba or into the Florida Strait late week.  The image below is from the latest European Ensemble Prediction System (EPS), courtesy WxBell.

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Watching the Southeast Coastline

Watching the Southeast Coast

A potent disturbance off of the southeast Florida coast is forecast to move northward approaching the Georgia or Carolina coastline on Wednesday. The forecast models are currently not in agreement as to whether this disturbance will develop into something more substantial or if it will simply bring the threat of heavy rain and or thunderstorms Thursday into Friday.

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