Noteworthy Shift West in Track of Overnight Ensembles … Will the Trend Continue or Reverse?

The energy in the atmosphere responsible for the evolution of this weekends storm system moved onshore and I’ll be curious to see if the recent shift to a more inland (less snow for DC) track holds consistent.

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Tim’s 2021- 2022 DC Winter Forecast

November begins tomorrow, the fall foliage is nearing peak and I can’t think of a better time to release my official 2021 – 2022 DC Winter Forecast.

Weak La Nina Conditions are Forecast to Prevail through the Upcoming Winter 

The blue colors off of the western coast of South America continuing westward along the equatorial Pacific represent cooler than average sea surface temperatures characteristic of La Nina conditions.  The forecast models (image below) continue to indicate that weak La Nina conditions should continue through  February 2022.

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Timing Saturday’s Thunderstorms

Enjoy the mild conditions tomorrow morning. A strong cold front will sweep through the DC region between 2 and 4 pm bringing with it a line of strong to severe storms.

Damaging winds in excess of 58 mph are the primary threat as fall-like weather arrives in its wake.

Temperatures on Sunday morning will dip into the mid to upper 40s in the suburbs and near 50 downtown with highs near 62 under beautiful blue skies.

The fall-like weather will remain in full force through the upcoming work week with highs near 65 and lows in the 40s. Finally 🍂🍁!