Models Models Everywhere: Thursday Update on Hurricane Irma

Below are images of the latest Ensemble Models showing their “spaghetti” tracks

– The GFS (US Global Forecast System model) and GEM (Canadian Global Environmental Multiscale model) ensembles are currently showing an Irma track furthest to the east.

– The NAVGEM (Navy Global Environmental Model) are currently showing an Irma track furthest to the west.

– The European Model Ensembles and JMA (Japanese Meteorological Agency) model currently track the storm somewhere in the middle of the guidance mentioned above.

Global Ensemble Forecast System model (GEFS, image courtesy WxBell):

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Wednesday Evening Update on Irma

The image above shows a wide spread (latest Global Forecast Ensembles) in track outcomes of Irma after it passes through the Bahamas potentially threatening the Florida peninsula later this weekend.

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Irma Now a Deadly Category 5 Hurricane

Hurricane Irma is now a monster of a storm in size.  Winds in her eye-wall are currently sustained at 180 mph which is basically as strong as a “land-falling tornado”.  Here are the latest forecast spaghetti tracks from the GFS, Canadian and European Ensembles (images courtesy WxBell).

Latest Global Forecast System (GFS) Spaghetti Tracks:

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