A Closer Look at this Evening’s Window of Opportunity for Fireworks

The latest HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) model shows light rain developing into a steadier rain during the day today with the potential for a break in the action this evening.

The following image (courtesy Tropicaltidbits.com) is a “future cast” from now until 11PM this evening.

  • Notice steadier rain moving north out of central Virginia into Northern Virginia, DC and Maryland.

July4th_HRRR

A closer look at the time frame between 8PM and 11PM:

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Heavy Rain will Dampen the 4th

NAM

The time-lapse image above (courtesy tropicaltidbits.com) shows an area of low pressure that will move along a stalled out frontal boundary between Sunday afternoon into the Tuesday morning rush hour.

  • Torrential rain and widespread embedded thunderstorms are likely

 

  • Heaviest rain threat will arrive on the 4th of July, in fact the Holiday itself may turn out to be a wash out.  Hoping for a break in the action in time for the fireworks.

 

  • Flash Flooding is a great possibility in areas that receive training thunderstorms.

 

  • Lightning will pose a danger during the Holiday so if you hear thunder you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

How much rain could fall?

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