Tim’s 2022-2023 DC Area Winter Forecast

Winter 2022-2023 will feature La Nina conditions (cooler than average water temperatures) across the Equatorial Pacific for the third time in a row, also referred to as a “triple dip La Nina”. A triple dip La Nina has only happened three times since records have been kept: 1954-57, 1973-76 and 1998-2001. So what does this mean for the upcoming winter across the Washington Area?

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies as of 22 October 2022, image courtesy NOAA.


Will this winter be similar to last year? Not necessarily. La Nina is a bit stronger this year and is also forecast to weaken and or dissipate into neutral conditions as we head into March 2023.

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