Strong to Severe Thunderstorms & Heavy Mountain Snow

Wisp Ski Resort, Garrett County Maryland

The first full week of April will feature May-like temperatures followed by early March weather this weekend as the roller coaster continues with an active, amplified jet stream pattern across the eastern two-thirds of the Nation.

Showers and thunderstorm are likely Monday night with clearing conditions on Tuesday expected along with gusty winds.  

A strong cold front will cross the area Thursday afternoon with strong to severe thunderstorms possible.

Friday through the weekend will feature heavy, wet Snow across the ski resorts of West Virginia, Maryland and Pennsylvania where upwards of 6 to 8″ of fresh snow could accumulate in the higher elevations.

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Timing Today’s Thunderstorms

Thunderstorm viewed from the Tidal Basin in Washington, photo credit Forest Wander

Periods of heavy rain with embedded thunder showers will impact the DC Area through the evening hours as a warm front lifts northward out of central Virginia during the early afternoon hours followed by a cold front passage during the afternoon rush hour.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed southern Maryland and north-central Virginia under a slight risk for Severe Thunderstorms today. This may be further modified northward depending upon how far north the warm front travels. 

Latest HRRR model showing the “Futurecast Radar”: 8AM – 10PM

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Timing the Potential for Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Friday Afternoon

A warm front will slide northward out of central Virginia on Friday placing a portion of the DC region in the unstable “warm sector”.  Just how far north the front is able to make it will determine how many of us will be under the gun for some strong thunderstorms.  Thunderstorms could contain hail and damaging wind gusts.

Thunderstorm over the skies of Washington, photo credit Amjeev

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“Parade of Nor’easters” Should Provide DC Area Drought Relief

Latest GFS (image below courtesy TropicalTidbits), European and Ensembles feature an unsettled pattern shaping up as we kick off early April

Today will be perfect with sunshine, mid 60s for highs and a breeze from the northwest.  Thursday will be a cooler with highs likely holding in the 50s as clouds increase ahead of our next storm system that will impact our area Thursday night through Friday with soaking rainfall.

After a beautiful weekend, the next storm system is forecast to become yet another Nor’easter on Tuesday bringing another chance of beneficial drought relief.

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Here Comes Some Soaking, Beneficial Rain

Image below, courtesy The National Park Service; view of the National Mall from the Netherlands Carillon in Arlington, Virginia

A cold front is approaching the DC Area bringing a period of soaking rainfall between 8AM and 1PM. Scattered thunder showers (40% coverage) may develop during the late afternoon and evening hours before our area clears out overnight.

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