The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of the immediate Washington Metropolitan Area under an “Enhanced Risk” of Severe Thunderstorms” on Tuesday afternoon.
What does an enhanced risk mean?
According to the Storm Prediction Center (image below courtesy NOAA), an enhanced risk means numerous severe storms are possible containing damaging winds (58 mph +) and large hail (1″ + diameter).
The latest High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model from the North American Model (NAM), shows numerous thunderstorms racing through the D.C. area Tuesday afternoon between 21z and 00z (4pm and 7pm).
For Wednesday afternoon, the SPC (image below courtesy NOAA) has placed the entire D.C. Region under a “Slight Risk for Severe Thunderstorms”. Scattered severe storms with damaging winds and large hail are again the primary threat.