From Blow Torch to Pattern Change

What a gorgeous weekend in store with temperatures soaring into the middle to upper 60s with mild weather continuing through much of next week.  With that said, a pattern change may be shaping up similar to the winter of 1960 where a mild snowless winter turned the corner late February into March with a trough setting up across the east and a ridge building out west.  Will this pattern repeat? There are no guarantees but let’s take a look at the latest European Ensembles.

Here is the upper level ridge that will be responsible for the spring-like weather this week:

  • Notice the bright red blob sitting over eastern Canada and extending southward into the mid-south.  This upper level ridge will provide the warm weather coming this weekend and into the next week ahead. The image below shows the upper level (500mb) chart Monday evening (President’s Day).

eps_z500a_noram_19

Here are the temperature anomalies (image below) associated with the upper level ridge at 850 mb:

  • Pretty impressive for February standards with record shattering warmth making it all the way into the midwest. New England will likely remain much cooler with the snow-pack on the ground.

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