Update on Weekend Forecast

Sunday’s system is just not coming together with most of the forecast models bringing some light snow flurries or scattered snow showers. The weekend will be cold enough for snow, but the problem lies in that the coastal system that does form will occur well out to sea as the upper level pattern is not conducive for phasing of the northern and southern branches of the jet stream. However before we snow lovers pull our hair out and wring our fists in the air, some patience may pay off during the middle portion of February as the upper level pattern may actually become favorable for east coast Nor’easters.

Here’s the latest European and GFS models for Super Bowl Sunday:

European Model (ECMWF):

  • Coastal storm tries to form southeast of the North Carolina outer banks but the upper level trough swinging through is not phasing with the system meaning as of now confidence is medium that we will have some light flurries or snow showers around on Sunday as any coastal storm that forms will likely┬áslip well out to sea.

ecmwf_slp_precip_ma_20

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