Wednesday Evening Update on Dangerous #Hurricane Matthew

213945W_sm.gif

The image above is the latest (5PM Tuesday) official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center.

Models:

GFS High Resolution Operational- I’m very concerned for Florida’s Space Coast as I expect a major storm surge there due to the orientation of Brevard county. Notice the GFS is on board with the European model in looping Matthew back to the south and possibly re-crossing the state of Florida early next week. 

GFS_Matthew.gif

European Ensembles:

eps_cyclones_Matthew.png

GEFS (GFS Ensembles) –

GEFS_Ensemble.gif

High Resolution European forecast model showing wind gusts in knots (images courtesy WeatherBell.com):

Thursday 7PM- 

ecmwf_uv10g_florida_7_THU_7PM.png

Friday 1AM- 

ecmwf_uv10g_florida_Friday_1AM.png

Friday 7AM –

ecmwf_uv10g_florida_9_Friday_7AM.png

Friday 1 PM- 

ecmwf_uv10g_florida_Friday_1PM.png

Friday 7PM –

ecmwf_uv10g_florida_11_Friday_7PM.png

Saturday 7AM –ecmwf_uv10g_florida_13_Saturday_7AM.png

Saturday 1PM – 

ecmwf_uv10g_charleston_14_Saturday_1PM.png

Saturday 7PM – 

ecmwf_uv10g_nc_15_Saturday_7PM.png

NOAA (latest probability for seeing Tropical Storm force winds): 

213945.gif

Here in Washington we have dodged a bullet. 

You can donate to the American Red Cross to help those unfortunate souls that have been or will be impacted by this devastating, powerful, Hurricane.

 

 

 

 

 

2 Replies to “Wednesday Evening Update on Dangerous #Hurricane Matthew”

  1. Track and time of year is similar to Hurricane King during October 1950. King hit south Florida as a major hurricane (125 mph sustained winds) and brought wind gusts of 82 mph all the way up to Jacksonville.

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  2. Thank you, Tim, for the very detailed information on Hurricane Matthew! Your site provides an astounding wealth of information to all of us here in the DC Metro community. Very much appreciated. Evan

    Like

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