The time-lapse image above (courtesy tropicaltidbits.com) shows an area of low pressure that will move along a stalled out frontal boundary between Sunday afternoon into the Tuesday morning rush hour.

• Torrential rain and widespread embedded thunderstorms are likely

• Heaviest rain threat will arrive on the 4th of July, in fact the Holiday itself may turn out to be a wash out.  Hoping for a break in the action in time for the fireworks.

• Flash Flooding is a great possibility in areas that receive training thunderstorms.

• Lightning will pose a danger during the Holiday so if you hear thunder you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

How much rain could fall?

Latest North American Model (NAM): 1 to 4″

Latest Global Forecast System (GFS): 2 to 4″

Saturday through noon on Sunday looks to be the best window for outdoor activities.  Showers may begin as early as Sunday afternoon as a warm front stalls across our area.

Hope everyone has a safe and happy 4th of July!