Heavy Rain will Dampen the 4th

NAM

The time-lapse image above (courtesy tropicaltidbits.com) shows an area of low pressure that will move along a stalled out frontal boundary between Sunday afternoon into the Tuesday morning rush hour.

  • Torrential rain and widespread embedded thunderstorms are likely

 

  • Heaviest rain threat will arrive on the 4th of July, in fact the Holiday itself may turn out to be a wash out.  Hoping for a break in the action in time for the fireworks.

 

  • Flash Flooding is a great possibility in areas that receive training thunderstorms.

 

  • Lightning will pose a danger during the Holiday so if you hear thunder you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

How much rain could fall?

Latest North American Model (NAM): 1 to 4″

NAM_rainfall

Latest Global Forecast System (GFS): 2 to 4″

GFS_rainfall

Saturday through noon on Sunday looks to be the best window for outdoor activities.  Showers may begin as early as Sunday afternoon as a warm front stalls across our area.

Hope everyone has a safe and happy 4th of July!

 

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