The following images (courtesy Weatherbell) will show that the ensembles within the European model are not surprisingly still not in complete agreement on exact track as this system is still several days out.
Let’s look at the various potential placements of the surface low next Wednesday (notice they are still scattered which means there isn’t enough consensus for confidence on who gets what):
Ensembles 1 through 25 showing potential low pressure Wednesday evening of next week:
Ensemble 26 through 50:
Low Pressure Placements (notice they are not tightly clustered with some more inland and some off the coast):
More updates to come as we continue to get closer to the potential event.