A period of snow flurries and snow showers is possible Sunday morning (especially across our southern suburbs) but the real impact this week will be the bitterly cold temperatures behind the arctic front on Sunday night. Let’s look at what the ensembles are saying for snow this week:
Climate Forecast System Model (image courtesy weatherbell): 50/50 chance of a weekend storm materializing (I am not going to get excited about a 50% chance of a storm scooting out to sea)
European Ensemble Mean and Control runs (images courtesy weatherbell) now through President’s Day: (The Euro is just killing all hopes of snow so far this winter and doesn’t want to phase the northern and southern branches of the jet stream)
So far, we have wasted one coastal storm this month. The potential for a good snow storm continues due to an active southern branch of the jet stream however unless the southern branch unites (phases) with the northern branch (supplier of arctic air) the snow drought will continue. Could we get a massive storm next weekend? Absolutely, but just like we got burned with this weekend’s storm… I don’t want to get my hopes up until we get much closer to the potential event (January 23/24).