Latest Snowfall Forecast

Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Snowfall forecast *50 percentile*, Image courtesy Weatherbell.com
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Snowfall forecast *50 percentile*, Image courtesy Weatherbell.com

The image above shows the Weather Prediction Center’s (WPC) 72 hour snowfall forecast (Percentile 50%).  Basically, any location on the map has at least a 50% chance of receiving that amount of snow and a 50% chance  of seeing higher snowfall totals than that.

Here is the latest snowfall forecast from the North American Model (NAM) for the DC, Baltimore and Philadelphia Metro Areas:

Latest North American Model (NAM) - Snowfall Forecast through Monday afternoon.
Latest North American Model (NAM) – Snowfall Forecast through Monday afternoon.

Tonight and tomorrow is a very tricky forecast for New York City as warm air in the mid levels may change NYC over to a nasty mix of sleet and freezing rain.

Much colder air will arrive behind this system on Tuesday and cooler than average temperatures are expected to continue through the week.

 

A few weather events I am watching:

 

  • An arctic front will cross the DC Area on Thursday, possibly touching off some snow showers.

 

  •  The European model & GFS both show a coastal storm impacting our area next Sunday into Monday (February 8th and 9th).

 

I will end this post by saying thank you to those who have sent me encouraging comments lately. DC has a lot of snow-enthusiasts for sure. Yes there are a few bears out there who hate winter and would rather have the coastal California climate year-round (I’d take it during Summer).

I am frustrated and impatient just like most of you who want to see a nice storm.  Winter isn’t over until the end of March… there’s hope, especially between now and Presidents Day Weekend.  Most of the top 5 historic storms in the Northeast have occurred in February.

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