The probability continues to increase of El Nino conditions developing across the Equatorial Pacific this Summer or early Fall. Let’s take a look at the latest forecast models and what this may mean from a historical perspective for your summer forecast here in the National Capital Region.
Given the increasing probability of El Nino (warmer than average water temperatures developing across the equatorial Pacific) developing, I pulled previous years where the D.C. Area went from back to back La Nina winters (or neutral) and into El Nino conditions the following Fall/Winter.
This is by no means an authoritative forecast (low to medium confidence), but I was curious about temperature and precipitation anomalies and wanted to share them with you:
Could the Mid-Atlantic states (NY, PA, NJ, DE, MD, DC, VA) be in for a hot, wet summer? We will soon find out.