Taste of Fall … then Hurricane Irene?

  • A strong cold front will cross the Washington Region Sunday bringing with it more afternoon thunderstorms. Some storms will become severe with damaging winds and hail
  • Beautiful weather is in store for the entire Mid-Atlantic Monday and Tuesday.
Highs on Tuesday will struggle to reach 80 degrees in Washington
  • Lows on Tuesday morning will fall into the mid 50s in the Shenandoah Valley, upper 50s in the outer northern and western suburbs and mid 60s in Washington and Baltimore.  Highs will struggle to reach 80 from Washington to New York with upper 70s in the western suburbs of the big cities.

ALL EYES TURN TO WHAT WILL LIKELY BECOME HURRICANE IRENE

  • Global Forecast Models take Irene very near the southern Florida coast and then pull her up the eastern seaboard late next weekend.
  • The remains of tropical systems would end any remaining drought conditions across Northern Virginia, southern Maryland and parts of lower Delaware and would also bring flooding problems to parts of the area that have received excessive amounts of rain during the past two weeks.
  • If Irene does track close to the spine of the Appalachians, a tornado outbreak would be possible with extreme wind shear in the atmosphere… stay tuned!

3 Replies to “Taste of Fall … then Hurricane Irene?”

  1. Hey Tim,

    Good to see another post from you. The winter outlook is already looking strange. Looks like you were right on with Irene as they are now saying we are looking at Irene’s remnents here (DC Area) on Saturday. I have a question for you. If you remember Hurricane Isabel, it really hammered the Western shore of the Chesapeake Bay, to the point it actually changed the shorelines and water depths through erosion. I was wondering if you have looked at what these changes, or other changes this storm and tohers, have had to the weather on the bay. I don’t know about others, but the bay just seems rougher to me these days. Maybe I am just getting too old, but it seems every weekend it is too rough for small crafts to get out there and fish. Any thoughts or comments?

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    1. Hey Mike,

      Isabel was an awesome storm and I certainly remember her well.
      I am not an expert on bay erosion however there certainly is a lot of info out there on that particular subject.
      According to, http://www.mgs.md.gov/coastal/isabel/isabel8.html … the Bay lost 20 acres of fastland or 158,800 metric tonnes of sediment — very impressive.
      I’m sure that the nor’easters that pounded the area during Winter 09-10 also did a fair amount of erosion to the Chesapeake Bay.
      Irene will be a nail biter as her exact track seems uncertain past day 3.

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  2. Tim, what should waterfront residents in the Herring Bay area of the Chesapeake expect in wind and water height from Irene?

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